25 Sep - 1 Oct 2015 #777

Counter-productive for India

Arun Baral in www.onlinekhabar.com, 22 September

What if India imposes an economic blockade against Nepal as it did in 1989? The general perception is that Nepal will suffer more. Actually it may end up harming India more. Here are five reasons why blocking the border is counter-productive.

1. Anti-India sentiment

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi succeeded in removing anti-Indian sentiments in Nepal during his Nepal visit last year. That was why signing of Bilateral Investment Promotion and Protection (BIPPA) and Upper Karnali Power Development Agreement (PDA) hardly drew any flak. A blockade would radicalise a new generation of Nepalis. As a result, even years after the end of the blockade, India will find it difficult to do business with Nepal.

2. Indian market

Nepal imports goods worth Rs 5 billion from India every year, but exports are worth less than Rs 1 billion. The longer the blockade continues, the more Nepalis will turn to China for trade. Rs 5 billion may not be a huge amount for a giant economy like India, but it would lose out.

3. China card

New Delhi has always been cautious about Beijing’s influence in Kathmandu. By not welcoming Nepal’s constitution and warning of a blockade, India will boost Chinese influence. China does not have bigger interests in Nepal, but will benefit from Kathmandu’s alienation with New Delhi.

4. Less dependence

Nepal is becoming increasingly more dependent on India. But a blockade will encourage Nepalis to seek alternatives and become more independent. Even politicians will stop thinking that they cannot reach top posts without New Delhi’s blessing.

5. India’s security

If India distances itself from Nepal, Pakistan’s influence will also grow and Nepal has an open border with India. Anti-Indian feelings in Kathmandu will not bode well for India.

Read also:

India’s statement

Modi’s message

comments powered by Disqus
Wow! It namely likewise fine treatise about JavaScript, babyliss pro curler I dissimilar Your post doesn't acquaint any sense. ray ban outlet uk if information are defined surrounded sketches one can effortlessly be versed with these. hollister sale I think a visualized exhibit can be better subsequently simply a effortless text, chanel espadrilles for sale that why it gives you improved quality. getnjloan.com Can you amuse forward me the code for this script alternatively interest distinguish me surrounded detail among relation apt this script? Vivienne Westwood online get a babyliss perfect curl Very soon this network sheet longing be outstanding among all blog viewers, isabel marant sneakers saleI too prefer Flash,