Moaists are now in a weakened positioned currently. Things they would not have negotiated on a year ago they are now prepared to do. There are also quite serious different opinons of how the Maoists should progress by their own leaders, openly seen like never before.

Prachnda has become a joke, humilitaed again and again politically. Maoists - Fear factor level by the people, has decreased as seen by the antibadh march against the Maoist,. I don't see them ever doing that again. Internationally, especially India has no more love for the Maoists, very much alone I'm afraid, China don't have your back remember what thanks they showed to King Gyandera after SAARC meeting fiasco, can you really trust them!!? You can see how desperate they have come in trying to team up with Kamal Thapa's party.

All in all, this is a great time for the non-maoist parties to exert pressure on the maoist leaders and get what we need to dismantle their militarise YCL and get rid of their Maoist guerilla force, which ultimately lead to coclusion of the peace process.

"The NC and UML accepted the CA because... they saw an alliance with the Maoists as the only way to survive politically."

Finally, Nepali media, such as NT, is beginning to acknowledge the Truth. But they still do it hesitatingly, hiding some hard truths and diluting others. Nepal will start moving forward when we gather the balls to face the real Truth:

Nepal's so-called "peace process" is nothing but a CHILD of OPPORTUNISM (parties) and VIOLENCE (Maoists), delivered by the midwifery of FOREIGN INTRIGUE (India).

It is highly doubtful that anything good for the country will come out of this UNHOLY ALLIANCE.

The Nepali people have been prevented from recognizing this Truth by a highly partial and self-interested media and civil society. But even these power-brokers are now realizing that they can't keep LYING to the people. They are bringing out the Truth in little bits and pieces (see editorial too), packaged so as not to hurt themselves.ÂÂ

But make no mistake. Nepal will only move forward when we fully acknowledge the Truth stated above. The "peace process" (12-point + CPA) is a LOUSY BASE upon which to build a country.

Best thing for Nepal and Nepalis is to scrap off this peace and start afresh with a REFERENDUM to determine the major structures of the state and take it from there!

"The NC and UML accepted the CA because the king had kicked them out in the capital, ...and they saw an alliance with the Maoists as the only way to survive politically."

The above statement is a great example of my point that the media is only giving out the truth in little bits, hiding large chunks of it. 

There are a number of problems with this statement. The major one is that the parties were not permanently "kicked out" by the king (as the statement implies), and the alliance with the Maoists was NOT the "only" solution to survival.

The parties could very much have come back to power through PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS. The same old faces may not have won, but ultimately the parties would be the ones in power. Parliamentary elections would have revived the 1990 Constitution, and the king's direct rule could have been ended through this method too!

However, Nepal's media has very carefully tried to block Nepali people from realizing that this alternative method to peace ever existed. They have very cleverly and deliberately tried to ensure that talk of those PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS just never come up. In this article too, Jha carefully sidesteps this topic.

Nepali people should not be fooled. Nepal had an alternative route to peace in 2005-06 i.e. through parliamentary elections. That was the route that should have been taken. Instead the route of this UNHOLY ALLIANCE and its BASTARD PEACE was taken. We are sufferring its consequences now.

Most probably, the Maoists will not change their earlier strategy:THREE SA(Sadan, Sadak and sambbad), one of the two wars they have waged since now. Lengthy meetings with varied extra-proposals are nothing new  to the Maoists. I�d say it is a part of silent war which has gravely reduced the target to build a democratic state because the Maoists wants to create a state of conditions as strong enough to their favour to �prevent the seizure of power�. Prashant there is no justifiable ideological differences between Baidhya, Bhattarai and Dahal, If that�s the case what this drama is all about? It is all about war, the silent war they pretend to have raised after peace pacts, as it approaches next deadline, the date set by the Maoists(one of them). Afterward, there is no constitution and no CA If the situation remains the same, which means the final stage of their war. The strategy is wrong. The war is never a good one Prashant, no matter silenced or noisy, but this war(sadan, sadak and sambbad)is even worse.

The War raised by the Maoists is still viewed differently by the Maoists barons. For some like Baidhya, it is still a war, and others, including Dahal and Bhattarai company, the issue is to mix the restructuring of the State, what makes the debate now and at the same time satisfy party�s sentimental needs through talks of revolts and violent orientation of subjugated mass. And this double mission does not facilitate the task. The reality is that this is a silent-insurgency operation, a very special war, very special. The Maoists has gone from a traditional to a silent-insurgency battle. But this type of insurgency is an asymmetric struggle as it only helps to unite the opposite side, the Maoists runs the risk of elimination, and this THREE SA either helps to reduce the threat but the contrary. And nothing indicates that the story will be different.

 

Bhattarai landed the open political territory of Nepal on the back of an elephant called GPK, Baidhya wanted to dominate it with gunfire, but Prachanda invaded by a helicopter, metaphorically said. All failed. And the international intervention(especially by INDIA) in Nepal is also a disaster. Companions of this divided nation have a principle of repulsion and disunity too strong to be defeated.

 A democratic state is at disadvantage, if it respects the functioning of bullets and ballots at the same time. And if not rejected, then dynamite the ethical basis that claims to have as her foundations. But, in one case as in another, time works in favor of the Realpolitcking, that is: needs of the time.

What explains the hostility of Biplav to sacrifice their lives to rebuild the country? Baidhya was partially right when he said that the Maoists made a blunder by mixing their war and parliamentary system.  The revolt this time is undoubtedly orchestrated by Baidhya and his likes. But why only hundreds of Maoist officials were left to orchestrate? Fearing a day later.

 

The call for a decisive revolt  is a further evidence that the Maoists are not willing to abandon their proxy-war strategy and perhaps know that striking a deal at this hour is to withdraw from the WAR sooner or later, the very opposite of their current ideological stance. The impossibility of changing the cloth of the State overnight(after 4 or 5 years of open politics) indicates that, in the long run any form of insurgency operation seems doomed to failure. Time is of Realpoliticking and not of War.