It has by now become common knowledge that the reason for this open-ended deadlock is because the two top leaders of the Maoists are circling each other warily, unwilling to give the other an advantage in the forthcoming party convention. The candidacy of the NC's Sushil Koirala was brokered by none other than Chairman Pushpa Kamal Dahal in order to sideline his rival within the party. Prime Minister Bhattarai saw through it and adamantly refused to step down if Koirala was going to replace him. The Madhesi partners in the coalition are cosy in their posts, and also refused to go along.
Seen from this angle, everything else is a distraction: the repeated deadlines by the president for a consensus government, floating the candidacy of a neutral caretaker or civil society stalwart, or even reviving the proposal to revive the CA. President Yadav decided to push ahead with his India visit because he knows fully well that for the formation of a consensus government, there first has to be a consensus within the UCPN (M).
The question now is whether we are going to allow the nation to be held hostage for another month while we wait around for the Great Duel at the Maoist convention in early February. Even as we analyse the bewildering political convolutions in excruciating detail, the clock ticks towards 2013. By next week it will be too late to schedule elections for May. And that seems to be exactly what the parties are secretly hoping for by prolonging the haggling: to let the poll cut-off date lapse.
If they don't dare face parliamentary elections, one way for the political parties to collectively salvage their reputation is at least to agree on local elections in May. This would kick-start development, restore accountability to district and village units, and reassure the public's faith in government which is at an all time low. Sadly, that is the best we can hope for 2013.