In all the distraction of the political meanderings and shadow boxing of the past month, what is often forgotten is that the Maoist party hasn't abjured violence. In fact, it is just the opposite.
Pushpa Kamal Dahal, in his speech to supporters at Tundikhel on Wednesday, once more threatened fire and brimstone, and the mother of all rebellions. His speech, of course, wouldn't have been complete without a threat to unleash another bloodbath if his party was not allowed to capture state power. And sure enough it came: "This time it won't just be 15,000 people who'll be killed but 30,000."
One could only take perverse satisfaction in the downsizing of the threat. Six months ago the Chairman said 1,000,000 would be killed. And this time he mercifully didn't threaten to "swim in the blood" of the dead.
There hasn't been a public reorientation of the party to peaceful pluralism. And until that happens, there just won't be the requisite trust among the non-Maoist parties and the main international players to agree to hand over the responsibility of power to them again.
What is bizarre is the tolerance shown by missions of supposedly democratic and civilised countries in Kathmandu to such incendiary rhetoric. Anyone calling on the Maoists to give up violence is immediately labelled a 'rightist status quoist'. Or fingers are pointed at the relatively docile youth wings of other parties, which sprang up in reaction to the YCL. Since when did speaking for ahimsa become reactionary? Why does a party that won power through the ballot still need the bullet?
The argument usually is that the Maoists need to say such things (and lie to the UN about guerrilla strength) to appease their hardcore cadre. That argument may have worked before, but it doesn't anymore. This is the familiar Maoist method of blackmailing with the threat of going back to war unless they get total power. The portrait
of Stalin on the walls of Maoist leaders isn't there just for show.
A majority of Nepalis don't really care if the constitution is written by the deadline or not, they just don't want to die in another war, and they want their lives to improve. The priority now is to defuse the explosive uncertainty over May 28. The meeting between the president and the three parties (including the Maoists) on Sunday cleared the air a bit. More needs to be done.
If the Maoists now publicly commit to non-violent politics a lot of things will fall into place, and could pave the way for a Maoist-led national government. Such a coalition can then quickly agree on integration numbers and the operating principles of a new constitution to be announced on May 28, the details of which can be fleshed out later.
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